Box Office Report - Weekend Box Office Report: September 20 - September 22, 2019



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Weekend Box Office Report
September 20 - September 22, 2019




By Daniel Garris

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Weekend Actuals Update:

With actuals now in, Focus’ Downton Abbey essentially came in on par with yesterday’s studio estimate with a strong first place debut of $31.034 million (including an estimated $2.2 million from earlier preview shows that took place back on Thursday, September 12).

Meanwhile, Disney and Fox’s Ad Astra came in just under its weekend estimate, but still held onto second place with a $19.001 million start, while Lionsgate’s Rambo: Last Blood also finished just under its studio estimate with a third place debut of $18.873 million.

Other weekend actuals for the frame include: IT Chapter Two ($17.006 million), Hustlers ($16.807 million), The Lion King ($2.678 million), Good Boys ($2.591 million), Angel Has Fallen ($2.407 million), Overcomer ($1.521 million), Hobbs & Shaw ($1.456 million), Dora and the Lost City of Gold ($1.280 million), The Peanut Butter Falcon ($1.015 million), Brittany Runs a Marathon ($960,542) and Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark ($955,498).

Weekend Estimates Update:

Focus’ Downton Abbey debuted in first place this weekend with an estimated $31.00 million. The theatrical continuation of the popular television series exceeded expectations, which had risen in the weeks leading up to release thanks in part to strong online pre-sales for the film. It should be noted that this weekend’s debut includes an estimated $2.2 million from earlier preview shows that took place back on Thursday, September 12. The film’s built-in audience clearly helped drive the film’s performance this weekend, while strong critical reviews helped as well. Downton Abbey delivered the largest opening weekend ever for distributor Focus (as the film easily topped the $22.69 million debut of 2015's Insidious Chapter 3) and the 16th largest debut ever for the month of September.

Downton Abbey earned $13.83 million on Friday (which also included the mentioned $2.2 million from earlier preview shows on September 12 and an estimated $2.1 million from Thursday night preview shows that began at 7PM), declined a sharp 30.7 percent on Saturday to take in $9.58 million and is estimated to decrease 20.8 percent on Sunday to gross $7.59 million. In addition to going over well with critics, Downton Abbey also looks to be going over very well with audiences, as the film received a strong A rating on CinemaScore. With that said, it is still quite possible that Downton Abbey will be heavily front-loaded going forward, regardless of word of mouth, due in part to this weekend’s initial rush-out of fans of the television series.

Internationally, Downton Abbey added an estimated $10.0 million this weekend, including debuts of $1.3 million in Germany and $931,000 in Spain. To date, Downton Abbey has grossed $30.8 million internationally and $61.8 million globally. Estimated international totals for the film through Sunday include $15.6 million in the United Kingdom, $4.8 million in Australia, $1.5 million in the Netherlands, $1.5 million in Sweden and $1.4 million in Finland. Downton Abbey will open in France this coming Wednesday (September 25).

It was a close race for second place between openers Ad Astra and Rambo: Last Blood. Disney and Fox’s Ad Astra currently has the edge for second with an estimated debut of $19.21 million. The Brad Pitt-led Ad Astra opened towards the higher end of expectations, which tended to range from the mid-teens to $20 million. Ad Astra opened 20.0 percent ahead of the $16.01 million launch of last year’s First Man. Ad Astra was helped out this weekend by both strong critical reviews and from grossing an estimated $4.0 million from IMAX locations (which represented 20.8 percent of this weekend’s overall gross). It should also be noted that Ad Astra was the most expensive of this weekend’s three new wide releases. Ad Astra delivered the second largest opening for a Fox film distributed by Disney thus far (behind only Dark Phoenix earlier this year).

Ad Astra arrived with $7.16 million on Friday (which included an estimated $1.5 million from Thursday night shows that began at 7PM), increased a slim 2.8 percent on Saturday to take in $7.36 million and is estimated to decrease 36.3 percent on Sunday to gross $4.69 million. Ad Astra received a modest B- rating on CinemaScore, which suggests that the film isn’t going over quite as well with audiences as it has with critics. It will be important for Ad Astra to hold up well going forward, especially with the film’s price-tag in mind.

Internationally, Ad Astra launched with an estimated $26.0 million from 44 territories. That places the early global total for Ad Astra at $45.2 million. International debuts for Ad Astra this weekend included $2.8 million in South Korea, $2.8 million in the United Kingdom, $2.7 million in France, $2.2 million in Spain, $2.2 million in Japan, $1.4 million in Mexico and $1.3 million in Australia. In the coming week, Ad Astra will open in additional markets, including Brazil, Italy and Russia. Ad Astra grossed an estimated $2.6 million from international IMAX locations, which brings this weekend’s global IMAX total to $6.6 million.

Lionsgate’s Rambo: Last Blood followed closely behind in third with an estimated $19.02 million. The fifth installment of the Sylvester Stallone-led film series opened towards the lower end of expectations, which had ranged from the high-teens to the mid-twenties. Without taking into account ticket-price inflation, Rambo: Last Blood opened 4.5 percent ahead of the $18.20 million start of 2008’s Rambo. While the theatrical trailer for Rambo: Last Blood appeared to go over well, demand for the film looks to have been limited at least somewhat by the poor critical reviews for Rambo: Last Blood. With regard to the close race between Ad Astra and Rambo: Last Blood this weekend, is should also be noted that Rambo: Last Blood was the far less expensive film of the two.

Rambo: Last Blood began its run with $7.18 million on Friday (including an estimated $1.3 million from Thursday night preview shows that began at 7PM), declined a slim 3.2 percent on Saturday to take in $6.95 million and is estimated to decline 29.5 percent on Sunday to gross $4.89 million. Rambo: Last Blood looks to be going over far better with audiences than it has with critics, as the film received a respectable B rating on CinemaScore. At the same time, 2008’s Rambo was quite front-loaded towards opening weekend (despite receiving an A- rating on CinemaScore), so it is quite possible that Rambo: Last Blood could be front-loaded going forward as well.

After leading the weekend box office for the past two frames, Warner and New Line’s IT Chapter Two fell three spots to land in fourth this weekend with an estimated $17.25 million. Due in part to losing IMAX screens to Ad Astra (as well as last weekend’s performance being inflated somewhat by Friday the 13th), IT Chapter Two was down a sharp 56.5 percent from last weekend. The 17-day total for IT Chapter Two stands at $179.17 million. While IT Chapter Two continues to perform well in its own right, the film is running a significant 32.7 percent behind the $266.10 million 17-day take of 2017’s IT, due in part to displaying softer holding power than IT did.

IT Chapter Two grossed an estimated $21.3 million internationally this weekend. To date, IT Chapter Two has grossed $205.9 million internationally and $385.1 million globally. Estimated international totals through Sunday for IT Chapter Two include $19.8 million in the U.K., $19.6 million in Mexico, $16.1 million in Russia, $15.5 million in Germany, $10.1 million in Brazil, $10.0 million in Italy, $8.2 million in Spain, $8.0 million in Australia, $7.4 million in France, $5.3 million in Indonesia and $4.2 million in South Korea.

STXfilms’ Hustlers was also down three spots from last weekend to round out this weekend’s top five with an estimated $17.00 million. On the heels of last weekend’s breakout start, Hustlers declined a sizable 48.8 percent this weekend. This weekend’s hold suggests that Hustlers may indeed not be going over quite as well with audiences as it has with critics (which was suggested by the film’s surprising B- rating on CinemaScore), especially given that Hustlers opened in an additional 274 locations this weekend. In the bigger picture, the modestly budgeted Hustlers continues to perform extremely well with a very strong ten-day start of $62.55 million. That already makes Hustlers Jennifer Lopez’s highest grossing live-action film domestically since Monster-in-Law grossed $82.93 million back in 2005. Hustlers is still in good shape to eventually reach the $100 million domestic mark, especially if the film stabilizes next weekend.

Meanwhile, Disney’s The Lion King placed in sixth with an estimated $2.57 million. That was down only 29.5 percent from last weekend and brings the film’s 66-day domestic total to $537.59 million. Internationally, The Lion King took in an estimated $3.8 million this weekend. To date, The Lion King has grossed $1.092 billion internationally and a massive $1.630 billion globally.











Weekend Studio Estimates for September 20 - September 22, 2019.

Rank Film (Distributor) Weekend Gross Locations Location
Average
%Change Total Gross TG ÷ OW Week
1 Downton Abbey (Focus) $31,000,000 3,079 $10,068 NEW $31,000,000 1.000 1
2 Ad Astra (Disney / Fox) $19,210,000 3,460 $5,552 NEW $19,210,000 1.000 1
3 Rambo: Last Blood (Lionsgate) $19,015,000 3,618 $5,256 NEW $19,015,000 1.000 1
4 IT Chapter Two (Warner / New Line) $17,245,000 4,156 $4,149 -56.5% $179,165,563 1.968 3
5 Hustlers (STXfilms) $17,000,000 3,525 $4,823 -48.8% $62,545,213 1.885 2
6 The Lion King (Disney) $2,572,000 1,978 $1,300 -29.5% $537,592,304 2.803 10
7 Good Boys (Universal) $2,510,000 2,025 $1,240 -40.6% $77,305,605 3.612 6
8 Angel Has Fallen (Lionsgate) $2,400,000 2,505 $958 -46.6% $64,689,679 3.026 5
9 Overcomer (Sony / AFFIRM) $1,500,000 1,818 $825 -45.0% $31,567,203 3.875 5
10 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Universal) $1,460,000 1,391 $1,050 -47.7% $170,613,810 2.842 8
11 Dora and the Lost City of Gold (Paramount) $1,220,000 944 $1,292 -33.5% $58,364,429 3.348 7
12 Brittany Runs a Marathon (Amazon Studios) $1,044,379 1,033 $1,011 -29.0% $5,342,600 3.630 5
13 The Peanut Butter Falcon (Roadside)  $1,015,480 1,128 $900 -44.9% $16,758,976 5.634 7
14 Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark (Lionsgate / CBS Films) $990,000 932 $1,062 -41.8% $65,819,736 3.147 7
15 The Goldfinch (Warner Bros.) $770,000 2,542 $303 -71.3% $4,550,103 1.698 2
                 
  The Angry Birds Movie 2 (Sony / Columbia) $685,000 730 $938 -42.0% $40,525,591 3.914 6
  Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood (Sony / Columbia) $640,000 957 $669 -57.4% $138,153,430 3.363 9
  Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice (Greenwich / 1091) $436,000 218 $2,000 -36.4% $1,650,539 2.405 3
  Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony / Columbia) $340,000 407 $835 -48.9% $389,716,018 4.210 12
  Toy Story 4 (Disney) $314,000 291 $1,079 -23.9% $432,776,979 3.579 14
  Ready or Not (Disney / Fox Searchlight) $223,000 301 $741 -76.7% $28,283,835 3.529 5
  Chhichhore (Disney / Fox Star) $205,000 98 $2,092 -54.4% $1,714,692 2.791 3
  47 Meters Down: Uncaged (Entertainment Studios) $170,000 246 $691 -59.9% $21,800,170 2.587 6
  Aladdin (Disney) $136,000 156 $872 -34.0% $355,264,942 3.883 18
  The Art of Racing in the Rain (Disney / Fox) $129,000 231 $558 -56.3% $26,048,886 3.201 7
  The Farewell (A24) $114,060 126 $905 -52.6% $17,347,644 7.191 11
  Promare (GKIDS) $88,044 31 $2,840 NEW $811,504 9.217 1
  The Zoya Factor (Disney / Fox Star) $79,000 100 $790 NEW $79,000 1.000 1
  Tod@s Caen (Lionsgate / Pantelion) $73,000 68 $1,074 -61.8% $2,584,012 2.353 4
  Monos (NEON / Participant) $52,493 15 $3,500 +5.3% $121,645 2.317 2
  Luce (NEON) $36,000 60 $600 -60.5% $1,955,758 6.505 8
  Fiddler: A Miracle of Miracles (Roadside) $32,000 49 $653 -54.9% $482,827 4.958 5
  Miles Davis: Birth of The Cool (Abramorama) $29,275 22 $1,331 -47.3% $325,235 5.596 5
  Honeyland (NEON) $25,875 36 $719 -24.1% $576,630 10.401 9
  After the Wedding (Sony Pictures Classics) $19,764 31 $638 -61.9% $1,546,708 3.463 7
  Midsommar (A24) $19,566 30 $652 -46.7% $27,415,512 4.179 12
  Maiden (Sony Pictures Classics) $19,565 39 $502 -50.7% $3,098,625 11.997 13
  Ms. Purple (Oscilloscope) $18,400 12 $1,533 +52.0% $51,811 2.816 3
  Mission Mangal (Disney / Fox Star) $7,000 13 $538 -83.1% $3,660,882 2.682 6
  Midnight Traveler (Oscilloscope) $4,200 1 $4,200 NEW $4,200 1.000 1
  Cracked Up (Abramorama) $3,770 1 $3,770 -29.0% $9,628 1.813 2
  Moonlight Sonata: Deafness in Three Movements (Abramorama) $2,217 1 $2,217 -59.1% $9,680 1.785 2
  Jay Myself (Oscilloscope) $1,250 1 $1,250 -59.9% $135,378 7.159 8

Box office grosses can be reported to BoxOfficeReport via email at: daniel@boxofficereport.com










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