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Weekend Box Office Predictions
June 12 - June 14, 2026
Published on June 11, 2026 at 8:15PM Pacific |
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| The summer box office rolls on this weekend with the release of Universal's Disclosure Day. The original sci-fi film from legendary director Steven Spielberg stars Emily Blunt, Josh O'Connor, Colin Firth, Eve Hewson and Colman Domingo. Disclosure Day is playing in 3,824 locations this weekend, is playing on IMAX screens and has Thursday preview shows beginning at 2PM. While anticipation for Disclosure Day hasn't felt as high as that of many other high-profile 2026 summer releases, some of that can be attributed to Disclosure Day being an original film and to details about the film being kept fairly secretive, even in the film's marketing. But anticipation does seem to be building as the film's release date has approached and good critical reviews look to be giving the film a last-minute boost as well. Disclosure Day should also be helped out this weekend by being the only true new wide release of the frame, though at the same time Disclosure Day and the marketplace in general will have to deal with the start of the 2026 World Cup this weekend (including Team U.S.A.'s first game on Friday against Paraguay) and with Game 5 of the highly watched NBA Finals between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. The competition from the sports world should make it more difficult for Disclosure Day to truly break out this weekend. Domestically, Disclosure Day will easily be Spielberg's highest grossing film as a director since at least 2018's Ready Player One (which grossed $137.7 million domestically) and perhaps Spielberg's highest grossing domestic film as a director since 2012's Lincoln (which grossed $182.2 million domestically). Look for Disclosure Day to debut in first place this weekend with $48.0 million, with there being potential for the film to hold up well beyond this weekend. |
| Another major box office story this weekend will be the continued run of Focus' Obsession. Last weekend the break-out low-budget horror film declined by just 7.3 percent (which was actually the film's first weekend percentage decline) to take fourth place with $25.39 million. In addition to continuing to benefit from out-of-this-world word of mouth and repeat business, Obsession will be adding theaters once again this weekend (the film will be playing in 168 more locations this weekend than last weekend) and also looks to be seeing its average showtimes per location increasing slightly from last weekend. Unlike the last two weekends, Obsession won't have to deal with a major new horror themed film this weekend, though there should be some overlap between the audiences of Obsession and Disclosure Day, especially among film buffs. On Wednesday, Obsession was down 16.8 percent from the previous Wednesday with a first place daily take of $4.22 million (and that was with grosses in general being deflated by Game 4 of the NBA Finals). Obsession could decline by just 9.4 percent this weekend to take second place with an exceptional $23.0 million. That would likely take the film's domestic total just past $192 million. |
| Paramount's Scary Movie is coming off of a very successful first place debut of $54.34 million last weekend. However, there are some concerning signs for the film's holding power going forward (relatively speaking), including the film's modest C+ rating on CinemaScore and initial front-loading thus far (though midweek grosses for the film have also been negatively affected by the NBA Finals games on Monday and Wednesday). On the other hand, Scary Movie will likely be a weekend heavy film and the film looks to be holding onto a very high percentage of its average showtimes per location from last weekend, which should help out with walk-up business this weekend. A sharp, but understandable 60.4 percent decline from last weekend would give Scary Movie a second weekend gross of $21.5 million this weekend. That would bring the ten-day domestic start for Scary Movie to roughly $92 million. |
| Holdovers should also occupy fourth and fifth place this weekend. Last weekend Amazon MGM Studios' Masters of the Universe debuted on the lower end of consensus expectations with a second place take of $29.44 million, while A24's break-out horror film Backrooms declined 67.7 percent to finish closely behind in third with a second weekend gross of $26.26 million. Thanks in part to being a week further in its run, Backrooms is highly likely to move ahead of Masters of the Universe on the box office chart this weekend. In addition to dealing with initial front-loading this weekend, Masters of the Universe will also have to deal with losing its IMAX screens to Disclosure Day this weekend. Whether or not Backrooms would be able to stabilize as the film's run went on was always going to be up in the air, but given the film's daily percentage holds this week, it is looking like Backrooms could be headed for a very respectable hold this weekend (not having to deal with the opening weekend performances of Scary Movie and The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act should also help out Backrooms this weekend). Look for Backrooms to decline 42.9 percent this weekend to gross $15.0 million and for Masters of the Universe to fall 60.9 percent to gross $11.5 million. That would likely bring respective domestic totals to just past $164 million for Backrooms and to just shy of $50 million for Masters of the Universe. |
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Weekend predictions for the top 9 films at the domestic box office.
| Rank | Film (Distributor) | Weekend Gross |
Total Gross |
% Change |
Week # |
| 1 | Disclosure Day (Universal) |
$48.0 M | $48.0 M | NEW | 1 |
| 2 | Obsession (Focus) |
$23.0 M | $192.5 M | -9% | 5 |
| 3 | Scary Movie (Paramount) |
$21.5 M | $92.0 M | -60% | 2 |
| 4 | Backrooms (A24) |
$15.0 M | $164.2 M | -43% | 3 |
| 5 | Masters of the Universe (Amazon MGM Studios) |
$11.5 M | $49.8 M | -61% | 2 |
| 6 | Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu (Disney) |
$5.3 M | $165.7 M | -47% | 4 |
| 7 | Michael (Lionsgate) |
$5.2 M | $363.9 M | -32% | 8 |
| 8 | Stop! That! Train! (Bleecker Street) |
$3.0 M | $3.0 M | NEW | 1 |
| 9 | The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act (Fathom Entertainment) |
$2.9 M | $26.3 M | -77% | 2 |
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