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4-Day Weekend Box Office Predictions
January 16 - January 19, 2026
Published on January 15, 2026 at 8:30PM Pacific |
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| This weekend Sony's 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple will look to put an end to the four-week reign of Disney and 20th Century's Avatar: Fire and Ash at the top of the domestic box office. 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple is the follow-up to last year's 28 Years Later and represents the fourth installment of the 28 Years Later horror series. 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple was directed by Nia DaCosta and stars Ralph Fiennes, Jack O'Connell and Alfie Williams. The horror sequel is playing in 3,506 locations this weekend and has Thursday preview shows beginning at 2PM. Last June, 28 Years Later opened with $30.00 million (the film grossed $32.81 million in its first four days), but ended up being quite front-loaded and finished its domestic run with $70.45 million. As a sequel, especially a sequel arriving so soon after its predecessor, 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple likely won't reach the box office heights of 28 Years Later. At the same time, there is still clearly interest in 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple, and very strong critical reviews, along with the January launch (which is normally a very good month for horror films at the box office), could help ease the likely box office decline from 28 Years Later. BoxOfficeReport is predicting respective three-day weekend and four-day weekend starts of $21.0 million and $23.5 million for 28 Years: Later The Bone Temple over the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday frame. |
| While it is likely to fall to second place this weekend, Avatar: Fire and Ash will still have a continued presence at the box office. Last weekend Avatar: Fire and Ash declined 48.1 percent to hold steady in first place with $21.50 million. Back in 2023, Avatar: The Way of Water declined 28.4 percent over the three-day Martin Luther King Jr. holiday frame (to gross $32.82 million). This weekend, Avatar: Fire and Ash is likely to continue to fall off faster than Avatar: The Way of Water did. Avatar: Fire and Ash will get a bit of a boost from continuing to play on IMAX screens this weekend. Look for Avatar: Fire and Ash to decline 32.6 percent over the three-day frame to gross $14.5 million, and for the film to take in $17.8 million over the four-day holiday frame (which would be a 17.2 percent decline from last weekend's three-day performance). |
| Meanwhile, fellow holiday season holdovers Disney's Zootopia 2 and Lionsgate's The Housemaid are likely to find themselves in a close race for third place this weekend. Last weekend, The Housemaid declined just 27.8 percent to take third place with $10.91 million, while Zootopia 2 decreased by 48.4 percent to follow in fourth with $10.00 million. Both films should hold up better this weekend than they did last weekend, especially Zootopia 2. This time around, Zootopia 2 will likely have the slight edge in the weekend rankings (especially over the four-day frame, as Martin Luther King Jr. Day is normally a good day for family films at the box office). Zootopia 2 could decline 13.0 percent over the three-day frame to gross $8.7 million and take in $11.2 million over the long four-day weekend (which would represent a 12.0 percent increase over last weekend's three-day frame). The Housemaid could decrease by 22.1 percent over the three-day weekend to gross $8.5 million and take in $10.2 million over the four-day weekend (which would be a slim 6.5 percent decline from last weekend's three-day haul). By the end of this weekend Zootopia 2 will be inching closer to the $400 million domestic mark, while The Housemaid will have easily passed the $100 million domestic mark. |
| This weekend also sees Fathom Entertainment's re-issue of all three films from Warner Bros. / New Line's The Lord of the Rings Trilogy, in celebration of 2026 being the 25th anniversary year of 2001's The Fellowship of the Ring. Back in June of 2024, Fathom re-issued The Lord of the Rings Trilogy together in a similar manner. The three films had a collective opening weekend gross of $6.15 million and took in a collective $8.27 million during the entire domestic re-issue run of the trilogy. Even though it has been less than two years since that re-issue, it appears that there is just as much demand for this year's re-issue of The Lord of the Rings Trilogy, if not more so. Assuming that grosses for all three The Lord of The Rings films are reported similarly as the last re-issue, The Lord of The Rings Trilogy could take in a combined $6.5 million over the three-day weekend and $7.5 million over the four-day holiday frame. |
| Further down on this weekend's box office chart, A24's Marty Supreme and Paramount's Primate could be headed for similar grosses this weekend. Primate had the clear edge between the two films last weekend ($11.16 million compared to an estimated $7.63 million for Marty Supreme), but Marty Supreme should have the much better hold this weekend, especially with Primate being in its second weekend and having to face new direct competition for horror fans from 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple. Marty Supreme could take in $5.0 million over the three-day frame (which would be a 34.5 percent decline) and $6.1 million over the four-day frame (which would be a 20.1 percent decrease from last weekend's three-day gross). Primate could have a second weekend decline of 56.1 percent to gross $4.9 million over the three-day weekend and take in $5.8 million over the four-day holiday frame (which would be a 48.0 percent decrease from last weekend's three-day debut). |
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4-Day predictions for this weekend's top 10 films at the domestic box office.
| Rank | Film (Distributor) | Weekend Gross |
Total Gross |
% Change |
Week # |
| 1 | 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (Sony / Columbia) |
$23.5 M | $23.5 M | NEW | 1 |
| 2 | Avatar: Fire and Ash (Disney / 20th Century) |
$17.8 M | $368.0 M | -17% | 5 |
| 3 | Zootopia 2 (Disney) |
$11.2 M | $392.4 M | +12% | 8 |
| 4 | The Housemaid (Lionsgate) |
$10.2 M | $108.8 M | -7% | 5 |
| 5 | The Lord of the Rings Trilogy (re-issue) (Fathom Entertainment / Warner Bros.) |
$7.5 M | $7.5 M | NEW | 1 |
| 6 | Marty Supreme (A24) |
$6.1 M | $79.5 M | -20% | 5 |
| 7 | Primate (Paramount) |
$5.8 M | $20.3 M | -48% | 2 |
| 8 | Greenland 2: Migration (Lionsgate) |
$4.0 M | $14.7 M | -52% | 2 |
| 9 | Anaconda (Sony / Columbia) |
$3.4 M | $59.3 M | -32% | 4 |
| 10 | The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants (Paramount) |
$3.3 M | $68.1 M | -15% | 5 |
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