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Weekend Box Office Predictions
June 7 - June 9, 2024
Published on June 6, 2024 at 6:45PM Pacific |
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| This weekend Sony's Bad Boys: Ride or Die will look to bring some well-needed life to the box office. The fourth installment of the Bad Boys franchise sees the return of stars Will Smith and Martin Lawrence, and also sees the return of Bad Boys for Life directors
Adil El Arbi and Bilall Fallah. Bad Boys: Ride or Die is playing in 3,885 locations this weekend, is playing on IMAX screens and has Thursday preview shows beginning at 3PM. On the average, critical reviews for Bad Boys: Ride or Die (while respectable) have been a notch below those for the well-received
Bad Boys for Life back in February of 2020. Bad Boys for Life opened with respective three-day and four-day holiday grosses of $62.50 million and $73.03 million and went on to finish its domestic run with $206.31 million (and the film would have ended up somewhat higher had it not been for the COVID-19 pandemic).
While there doesn't look to be as much anticipation for Bad Boys: Ride or Die as there was for Bad Boys for Life, there is still a high amount of anticipation of Bad Boys: Ride or Die in its own right, thanks in part to the overall goodwill from Bad Boys for Life. And as the follow-up to
Bad Boys for Life, there will likely be more front-loading towards opening weekend for Bad Boys: Ride or Die as well. BoxOfficeReport is predicting that Bad Boys: Ride or Die will debut with $50.0 million this weekend. |
| Sony's The Garfield Movie and Paramount's IF are both coming off of good holds last weekend, and both family films should hold up even better this weekend, especially with no new family films entering the marketplace. Both films could also get an additional boost this weekend from
family audiences wanting to catch either film before Disney and Pixar's highly anticipated Inside Out 2 enters the marketplace next weekend. Last weekend The Garfield Movie declined 41.7 percent to place in first with $14.01 million, while IF decreased 34.9 percent to take third with $10.51 million.
This weekend The Garfield Movie could decline just 28.6 percent to place in second with $10.0 million and IF could decrease by a slim 20.0 percent to follow in third place with $8.4 million. |
| The weekend's other new release is Warner Bros. and New Line's The Watchers. The PG-13 horror film represents the debut of Ishana Night Shyamalan as a director, and Ishana's father M. Night Shyamalan was one of the film's producers. The film stars Dakota Fanning, Georgina Campbell,
Olwen Fouéré and Oliver Finnegan. The Watchers is playing in 3,351 locations this weekend and has Thursday preview shows beginning at 3PM. We've yet to have a horror film truly break out in 2024 and it doesn't look like The Watchers will be the horror film to break that streak. Anticipation for
The Watchers appears to be modest, as the film doesn't appear to have caught on with moviegoers and the film's largely negative critical reviews aren't helping matters either. The Watchers will be helped out at least somewhat from getting a decent amount of showtimes per location this weekend, thanks in
part to the overall marketplace still being relatively soft for this time of year. BoxOfficeReport is predicting that The Watchers will debut in fourth place this weekend with $8.2 million. |
| As for some of this weekend's other holdovers, Disney and 20th Century's Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes will likely already overtake Warner Bros.'s Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga in this weekend's rankings. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes is holding up significantly better than
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga at the moment and Furiosa will also have to deal with losing its IMAX screens and showtimes this weekend (to Bad Boys: Ride or Die). Look for Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes to decline a solid 34.2 percent to place in fifth this weekend with $5.9 million and for
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga to fall a sharp 53.6 percent to land in sixth place with $5.0 million. |
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Predictions for this weekend's top 8 films at the domestic box office.
| Rank | Film (Distributor) | Weekend Gross |
Total Gross |
% Change |
Week # |
| 1 | Bad Boys: Ride or Die (Sony / Columbia) |
$50.0 M | $50.0 M | NEW | 1 |
| 2 | The Garfield Movie (Sony / Columbia) |
$10.0 M | $68.7 M | -29% | 3 |
| 3 | IF (Paramount) |
$8.4 M | $94.0 M | -20% | 4 |
| 4 | The Watchers (Warner Bros. / New Line) |
$8.2 M | $8.2 M | NEW | 1 |
| 5 | Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (Disney / 20th Century) |
$5.9 M | $150.3 M | -34% | 5 |
| 6 | Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (Warner Bros.) |
$5.0 M | $59.6 M | -54% | 3 |
| 7 | The Fall Guy (Universal) |
$3.0 M | $85.4 M | -29% | 6 |
| 8 | The Strangers: Chapter 1 (Lionsgate) |
$2.1 M | $32.5 M | -43% | 4 |
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