Weekend Box Office Predictions
August 26 - August 28, 2022
Published on August 25, 2022 at 6:00PM Pacific |
| In what is looking to be a very slow overall weekend at the box office, Sony's The Invitation appears set to lead the last frame of this August. The PG-13 rated horror film from Screen Gems was directed by
Jessica M. Thompson and stars Nathalie Emmanuel and Thomas Doherty. The Invitation will be playing in 3,114 locations this weekend and will have Thursday preview shows beginning at 4PM. As of publishing, critical reviews have
yet to start to appear for The Invitation. While anticipation for The Invitation appears to be modest, there still looks to be enough anticipation for the film to debut in first place this weekend. The lack of
PG-13 horror films in the marketplace as of late could also help give The Invitation a bit of a last-minute boost this weekend. BoxOfficeReport is predicting that The Invitation will open with $8.3 million this weekend
(for a per-location average of $2,665). |
| After declining two spots and 40.1 percent last weekend to take third with $8.03 million, Sony's Bullet Train could move up to second place this weekend. Thanks to solid word of mouth, this weekend's
likely lackluster new wide releases and having a better average showtimes per location percentage hold this weekend than last weekend; Bullet Train should continue to stabilize this weekend. A decline of just 26.5 percent would
transfer into a weekend take of $5.9 million for Bullet Train. |
| Beyond second place, positions third through seventh could be quite this close this weekend, with third place and seventh place potentially being separated by roughly $1 million or so. |
| Last weekend Universal's Beast debuted in second place with $11.58 million. While Beast had nice daily holds for an opener this past weekend, midweek holds this week have been relatively less
promising. Word of mouth for Beast looks to be solid (the film received a B rating on CinemaScore), but at the same time the film will be dealing with new competition from both of this weekend's new wide releases.
Beast could decline a sizable 53.4 percent for a second weekend gross of $5.4 million, before likely stabilizing over next weekend's Labor Day holiday frame. |
| Paramount's Top Gun: Maverick is coming off of a fourth place take of $5.91 million, which was a slim 16.1 percent decline from the previous weekend. The blockbuster sequel may hold up even better
this weekend, as a 10.4 percent decrease would lead to a weekend take of $5.3 million. At this point, it's only a matter of time until Top Gun: Maverick passes the $700 million domestic mark. |
| Crunchyroll's Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero exceeded expectations last weekend with a healthy first place start of $21.12 million. In recent years, it has been commonplace for anime films from
Crunchyroll (and previously Funimation) to have second weekend declines of at least 69 percent. Back in 2019, Dragon Ball Super: Broly declined 69.4 percent in its second weekend, but that was with the film's opening
weekend being deflated from a Wednesday opening. Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero should experience an even sharper second weekend percentage decline, especially with the film losing a sizable amount of its IMAX screens and
shows to Disney's IMAX re-issue of Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. Look for Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero to fall a very sharp 77.3 percent to gross $4.8 million this weekend. |
| Warner's DC League of Super-Pets stabilized very nicely last weekend by declining 18.8 percent to place in fifth with $5.68 million. With no new competition for family audiences entering the marketplace
this weekend, DC League of Super-Pets could decline a fairly similar 17.3 percent to take in $4.7 million. |
| The weekend's other new wide release is United Artists Releasing and MGM's Three Thousand Years of Longing. The George Miller directed R-rated fantasy film stars Tilda Swinton and Idris Elba.
Three Thousand Years of Longing will be playing in 2,436 locations and will have Thursday previews starting at 5PM. Critical reviews for the film have been mixed, but more so positive than negative. It doesn't appear that
Three Thousand Years of Longing will have much appeal with mainstream audiences and the decision to open the film just one week after Beast (which also stars Elba) won't help matters either. BoxOfficeReport is predicting
that Three Thousand Years of Longing will debut with a lackluster $4.4 million this weekend (for a per-location average of $1,806). |
| As for some of this weekend's other holdovers, Disney's Thor: Love and Thunder could decline 21.3 percent for $3.2 million, Universal's Minions: The Rise of Gru could decrease 19.4 percent to follow
closely behind with $3.0 million, Sony's Where the Crawdads Sing could drop 25.1 percent to take in $2.4 million and Universal's Nope could slow 35.8 percent to gross $2.3 million. |
| Also opening this weekend are Bleecker Street's Breaking (in a moderate / semi-wide 902 locations) and Disney's IMAX re-issue of 2016's Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
(in a limited / moderate 255 locations). Breaking is a thriller directed by Abi Damaris Corbin and stars John Boyega and the late Michael K. Williams. On the average, critical reviews for Breaking have been good. Both
Breaking and the IMAX re-issue of Rogue One: A Star Wars Story should open outside of this weekend's top 11. BoxOfficeReport isn't making an official weekend prediction for either film. |
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Predictions for this weekend's top 11 films at the domestic box office.
| Rank | Film (Distributor) | Weekend Gross |
Total Gross |
% Change |
Week # |
| 1 | The Invitation (Sony / Screen Gems) |
$8.3 M | $8.3 M | NEW | 1 |
| 2 | Bullet Train (Sony / Columbia) |
$5.9 M | $78.5 M | -26% | 4 |
| 3 | Beast (Universal) |
$5.4 M | $20.6 M | -53% | 2 |
| 4 | Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount) |
$5.3 M | $691.8 M | -10% | 14 |
| 5 | Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero (Crunchyroll) |
$4.8 M | $31.0 M | -77% | 2 |
| 6 | DC League of Super-Pets (Warner Bros.) |
$4.7 M | $74.6 M | -17% | 5 |
| 7 | Three Thousand Years of Longing (United Artists Releasing / MGM) |
$4.4 M | $4.4 M | NEW | 1 |
| 8 | Thor: Love and Thunder (Disney) |
$3.2 M | $337.1 M | -21% | 8 |
| 9 | Minions: The Rise of Gru (Universal) |
$3.0 M | $355.0 M | -19% | 9 |
| 10 | Where the Crawdads Sing (Sony / Columbia) |
$2.4 M | $81.9 M | -25% | 7 |
| 11 | Nope (Universal) |
$2.3 M | $117.7 M | -36% | 6 |
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