Weekend Box Office Predictions
March 4 - March 6, 2022
Published on March 3, 2022 at 4:45PM Pacific |
| This weekend sees the release of Warner's highly anticipated The Batman. The Matt Reeves directed non-DCEU reboot of the Batman franchise stars Robert Pattinson in his first appearance as Batman.
The Batman also stars Zoë Kravitz as Catwoman, Paul Dano as the Riddler and Colin Farrell as the Penguin. Unlike Warner's 2021 day-and-date HBO Max releases, The Batman will be playing exclusively in theatres this weekend
(in an ultra-wide 4,417 locations - the highest opening weekend location count for any film since re-opening). The Batman will also be playing on IMAX screens and is expected to perform especially well on IMAX and other
PLF screens. The Batman had select preview shows on both Tuesday night and Wednesday night (with the hope that earlier preview shows will help build positive early word of mouth among Batman fans) and will have traditional
Thursday preview shows beginning at 3PM. On the average, critical reviews for The Batman have been very good, but not great. |
| There appears to be no question that The Batman is the second most anticipated film to date since the re-opening of theatres (behind only Spider-Man: No Way Home). With that in mind,
The Batman should have no problem zooming past the $90.03 million start of Venom: Let There Be Carnage (which currently claims the second highest opening weekend since re-opening). When it comes to a break-out opening
weekend performance, The Batman will have a few factors working against it this weekend, including the film's 175-minute run-time (though the film's high showtimes per-location average will help make up for that) and not having
The Joker being one of the film's stars. The limited amount of wide releases currently scheduled during the rest of March could also lead to some relative built-in back-loading for The Batman in the weeks ahead.
BoxOfficeReport is predicting that The Batman will debut with a strong $132.0 million this weekend (for a per-location average of $29,885). In addition to representing the second largest opening weekend since re-opening, that
would also represent the fourth largest opening ever for a film starring Batman and the fifth largest opening weekend ever for the month of March. |
| After leading the box office each of the past two weekends, Sony's Uncharted is set to finish in a distant second place this weekend. Last weekend saw Uncharted hold up relatively well for a
video game based film in its second weekend, as the film declined 48 percent to take in $23.00 million. But with new direct competition from The Batman, which will result in Uncharted losing a sizable percentage of
its showtimes from last weekend (including its IMAX screens), Uncharted is highly likely to experience a sharper percentage decline this weekend than it did last weekend. Look for Uncharted to decrease a sharp
56.5 percent to take in $10.0 million this weekend, which would bring the film to the brink of the $100 million domestic mark. |
| United Artists Releasing and MGM's Dog is coming off of a strong second weekend hold, which saw the film decline just 32 percent to remain in second with $10.16 million. In addition to benefiting
from good word of mouth and solid critical reviews, based on daily holding patterns it also appears that Dog skewed more towards family audiences in its second weekend than it did during its opening weekend. If that trend
continues, it will continue to help Dog this weekend and beyond. After its strong hold last weekend, Dog also looks to be in store for a very strong average showtimes per-location hold this weekend. Another 32 percent
decline would transfer into a third place take of $6.9 million for Dog this weekend. |
| As for some of this weekend's other holdovers, with the new direct competition from The Batman, Sony's Spider-Man: No Way Home will likely fall off more than it did last weekend
(when the film declined a slim 22 percent to take third with $5.80 million), but could still have a very solid 33 percent decrease to place in fourth with $3.9 million. Disney and 20th Century's Death on the Nile could decline a
respectable 42 percent to follow in fifth with $2.6 million, Universal's Sing 2 could decrease just 29 percent to claim sixth with $1.6 million and Paramount's Jackass Forever could fall a sizable 55 percent to land in
seventh with $1.4 million. |
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Predictions for this weekend's top 8 films at the domestic box office.
| Rank | Film (Distributor) | Weekend Gross |
Total Gross |
% Change |
Week # |
| 1 | The Batman (Warner Bros.) |
$132.0 M | $132.0 M | NEW | 1 |
| 2 | Uncharted (Sony / Columbia) |
$10.0 M | $99.2 M | -57% | 3 |
| 3 | Dog (United Artists Releasing / MGM) |
$6.9 M | $40.8 M | -32% | 3 |
| 4 | Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony / Columbia) |
$3.9 M | $785.9 M | -33% | 12 |
| 5 | Death on the Nile (Disney / 20th Century) |
$2.6 M | $36.9 M | -42% | 4 |
| 6 | Sing 2 (Universal) |
$1.6 M | $153.6 M | -29% | 11 |
| 7 | Jackass Forever (Paramount) |
$1.4 M | $54.5 M | -55% | 5 |
| 8 | Cyrano (United Artists Releasing / MGM) |
$0.80 M | $2.7 M | -42% | 2 |
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