Box Office Report - Weekend Box Office Report: November 2 - November 4, 2018



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Weekend Box Office Report
November 2 - November 4, 2018




By Daniel Garris

Weekend Actuals Update:

Fox’s Bohemian Rhapsody finished higher than its weekend studio estimate with a stronger than expected first place debut of $51.061 million.

Disney’s The Nutcracker and the Four Realms came in a bit ahead of its weekend estimate with $20.352 million, while Paramount’s Nobody’s Fool came in a bit below its estimate with $13.743 million.

Other weekend actuals for the frame include: A Star is Born ($11.003 million), Halloween ($10.831 million), Venom ($7.877 million), Smallfoot ($3.862 million), Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween ($3.774 million), Hunter Killer ($3.528 million), The Hate U Give ($3.353 million), First Man ($2.184 million), Night School ($1.990 million), Beautiful Boy ($1.346 million from 540 locations) and Mid90s ($1.331 million).

Weekend Estimates Update:

Fox’s Bohemian Rhapsody arrived in first place this weekend with an estimated $50.00 million. The Queen biopic exceeded expectations, which had tended to range from $35 million to $45 million heading into the weekend. Bohemian Rhapsody debuted 13.0 percent ahead of the recent $44.26 million start of A Star is Born (when including midweek previews for A Star is Born) and just 16.9 percent behind the $60.20 million launch of 2015’s Straight Outta Compton. Bohemian Rhapsody also registered the eighth largest debut ever over the post-Halloween weekend frame, which traditionally represents the start of the holiday movie-going season. While critical reviews for Bohemian Rhapsody have been mixed, at the end of the day the film proved to be critic-proof this weekend, thanks in part to Queen’s sizeable and dedicated fan-base and to a strong advertising campaign.

Bohemian Rhapsody started out with an estimated $18.80 million on Friday (which included an estimated $3.90 million from Thursday night shows that began at 7PM), held steady on Saturday with $18.80 million (which represents a very nice first-Saturday hold for a film with grosses of this magnitude) and is estimated to decline 34.0 percent on Sunday to gross $12.40 million. The film appears to be going over far better with audiences than it has with critics, as in addition to Saturday’s hold, Bohemian Rhapsody received a strong A rating on CinemaScore. The film’s strong early word of mouth could help transfer into stronger than expected holding power going forward, on top of the film’s already stronger than expected start.

Bohemian Rhapsody was also impressive internationally with an estimated haul of $72.5 million, upon launching throughout much of the globe this weekend. That places the international total for Bohemian Rhapsody at $91.7 million and the film’s current global haul at $141.7 million. International debuts for the film by market this weekend included $7.7 million in France, $5.8 million in Mexico, $5.8 million in Germany, $5.7 million in South Korea, $5.4 million in Australia, $4.8 million in Spain, $3.8 million in Russia and $2.4 million in Brazil. Bohemian Rhapsody also grossed $7.4 million in the United Kingdom this weekend, where the film has grossed an exceptional $26.6 million through twelve days of release. Next weekend Bohemian Rhapsody will open in additional markets, including Japan.

Disney’s The Nutcracker and the Four Realms opened in second place with an estimated $20.00 million. That was towards the lower end of pre-release expectations, which had tended to range from the high-teens to the mid-twenties. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms was off to a lackluster start with its pricey production budget in mind; but that had been largely expected. The film will also hope to hold up well throughout the holiday season, though that may be easier said than done given the film’s poor critical reviews and the amount of new wide releases that will be entering the marketplace between now and Christmas. This weekend’s performance for The Nutcracker and the Four Realms was 18.6 percent below the $24.59 million start of Disney’s Christopher Robin back in August.

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms began its run with $5.62 million on Friday (which included an estimated $625,000 from Thursday night shows that began at 6PM), was up a strong 54.8 percent on Saturday to gross $8.70 million and is estimated to decline 34.7 percent on Sunday to take in $5.68 million. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms looks to be going over significantly better with audiences than it has with critics, as the film received a solid B+ rating on CinemaScore, though that rating also doesn’t suggest that early word of mouth for the film is out-of-this-world.

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms was stronger internationally this weekend, as the film took in an estimated $38.5 million from 45 international markets. That places the film’s global launch at $58.5 million. This weekend’s international performance was driven largely by a three-day start of $12.0 million in China and a $5.5 million five-day launch in Italy. Other international debuts for The Nutcracker and the Four Realms included $2.7 million in Germany, $2.3 million in Mexico, $2.2 million in Spain and $2.1 million in the United Kingdom. Later this month The Nutcracker and the Four Realms will open in Australia (November 22), France (November 28) and in Japan (November 30).

Paramount’s Nobody’s Fool debuted in third place with an estimated $14.00 million. That was on the very low end of expectations, which had ranged from the mid-teens to the high-teens for the film. Nobody’s Fool delivered the third smallest debut ever for Tyler Perry as a director and the film opened 18.5 percent below the $17.17 million debut of Perry’s most recent film, Acrimony, earlier this year. In hindsight, potential for Nobody’s Fool may have been limited somewhat by the film arriving in the marketplace so soon after fellow Tiffany Haddish film Night School.

Nobody’s Fool grossed $4.86 million on Friday (which included an estimated $600,000 from Thursday night shows that began at 7PM), increased a promising 16.8 percent on Saturday to register $5.68 million and is estimated to decline 38.9 percent on Sunday to take in $3.47 million. Critical reviews for Nobody’s Fool have been poor, though the film has only been reviewed by a select number of critics thus far. Nobody’s Fool looks to be going over far better with audiences, as the film received a healthy A- rating on CinemaScore. That could point towards Nobody’s Fool displaying stronger than usual holding power for a Tyler Perry directed film.

Warner’s A Star is Born continued to display terrific holding power this weekend, as the film was down a slim 20.9 percent to place in fourth with an estimated $11.10 million. This weekend’s hold was especially impressive given the new competition the film faced from all three of this weekend’s new wide releases (especially from Bohemian Rhapsody). With a strong $165.63 million total after 31 days of wide release, A Star is Born now looks to be a lock to eventually surpass the $200 million domestic mark. Internationally, A Star is Born took in an estimated $13.9 million this weekend. To date, A Star is Born has grossed $128.3 million internationally and $293.9 million globally. Current international totals for A Star is Born by market include $29.2 million in the United Kingdom, $14.0 million in Australia, $11.2 million in France, $8.1 million in Germany, $7.1 million in Italy, $5.3 million in Brazil, $4.4 million in Spain, $4.4 million in Taiwan and $3.7 million in Mexico.

Universal and Blumhouse’s Halloween was down four spots and a sharp 64.9 percent to round out the weekend’s top five with an estimated $11.02 million. Halloween clearly took a big hit this weekend from the Halloween holiday now being behind us and also saw an impact from losing IMAX screens to Bohemian Rhapsody this weekend. In the bigger picture, Halloween surpassed the $150 million domestic mark this weekend and has grossed an exceptional $150.41 million in 17 days (especially with the film’s low production budget in mind). Internationally, Halloween took in an estimated $18.3 million this weekend. That brings the film’s international total to $79.2 million and current global haul to $229.6 million. Current international totals for Halloween by market include $11.6 million in Mexico, $10.3 million in the United Kingdom, $8.8 million in Germany, $5.3 million in France, $3.7 million in Australia, $3.5 million in Italy, $3.3 million in Spain and $3.1 million in Brazil.

Sony’s Venom placed in sixth with an estimated $7.85 million. Venom was down only 26.3 percent this weekend, as the film held up surprisingly well, especially since it appeared to have received a bit of a boost last week from the Halloween holiday. Venom is now on the verge of reaching the $200 million domestic mark with a stronger than expected 31-day total of $198.66 million. Venom took in an estimated $15.6 million internationally this weekend, which was driven by the film’s $5.3 million launch in Japan. To date, Venom has grossed $342.9 million internationally and a massive $541.6 million globally. Current international totals to date for Venom by market include $31.6 million in Russia, $30.1 million in South Korea, $25.5 million in the United Kingdom, $23.8 million in Mexico, $18.3 million in France, $18.3 million in Brazil, $15.2 million in Germany, $15.0 million in Australia, $10.3 million in Spain and $9.8 million in Italy.

On the platform front, Focus’ Boy Erased was off to a solid start with an estimated $220,000 from five locations in New York, Los Angeles and San Francisco. That gave the Joel Edgerton directed awards season hopeful a per-location average of $44,000 for the frame. Boy Erased will expand to additional cities this coming Friday and receive a major expansion the following week on November 16.










Weekend Studio Estimates for November 2 - November 4, 2018.

Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Theatre
Count
Per-Thea.
Average
%Change
Total
Gross
TG to OW
Ratio
Week
1 Bohemian Rhapsody
(Fox)
$50,000,000 4,000 $12,500 NEW $50,000,000 1.000 1
2 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
(Disney)
$20,000,000 3,766 $5,311 NEW $20,000,000 1.000 1
3 Nobody's Fool
(Paramount)
$14,000,000 2,468 $5,673 NEW $14,000,000 1.000 1
4 A Star is Born
(Warner Bros.)
$11,100,000 3,904 $3,431 -20.9% $165,635,000 3.860 5
5 Halloween
(Universal)
$11,015,000 3,775 $2,918 -64.9% $150,409,000 1.973 3
6 Venom
(Sony / Columbia)
$7,850,000 3,067 $2,560 -26.3% $198,663,000 2.475 5
7 Smallfoot
(Warner Bros.)
$3,805,000 2,002 $1,901 -20.1% $77,484,000 3.362 6
8 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween
(Sony / Columbia)
$3,700,000 2,828 $1,308 -49.2% $43,832,000 2.774 4
9 Hunter Killer
(Lionsgate / Summit Premiere)
$3,525,000 2,720 $1,296 -47.0% $12,965,000 1.949 2
10 The Hate U Give
(Fox)
$3,400,000 1,507 $2,256 -33.4% $23,461,000 3.086 5
11 First Man
(Universal / DreamWorks)
$2,265,000 1,712 $1,323 -53.4% $42,055,000 2.627 4
12 Night School
(Universal)
$2,015,000 1,271 $1,585 -37.7% $74,412,000 2.730 6
13 Beautiful Boy
(Amazon Studios)
$1,415,000 540 $2,620 +116.5% $3,218,000 2.275 4
14 Mid90s
(A24)
$1,360,000 1,091 $1,247 -54.4% $5,821,000 1.953 3
15 Can You Ever Forgive Me?
(Fox Searchlight)
$1,080,000 180 $6,000 +203.1% $1,800,000 1.667 3

Johnny English Strikes Again
(Universal)
$1,045,000 552 $1,893 -36.2% $3,262,000 1.990 2
Free Solo
(National Geographic / Greenwich)
$1,035,000 363 $2,851 -8.7% $6,867,000 6.057 6
The Old Man & the Gun
(Fox Searchlight)
$1,000,000 765 $1,307 -43.3% $9,171,000 4.296 6
Suspiria
(Amazon Studios)
$965,000 311 $3,102 +424.2% $1,216,000 1.260 2
Indivisible
(Pure Flix)
$752,000 742 $1,013 -50.0% $2,882,000 1.917 2
The House with a Clock in Its Walls
(Universal / Amblin)
$520,000 510 $1,020 -50.5% $67,342,000 2.531 7
Boy Erased
(Focus)
$220,000 5 $44,000 NEW $220,000 1.000 1
Incredibles 2
(Disney)
$173,000 150 $1,153 +24.9% $608,114,000 3.329 21
Colette
(Bleecker Street)
$168,000 130 $1,289 -49.5% $4,794,000 4.796 7
Gosnell
(GVN Releasing)
$141,000 267 $528 -63.9% $3,543,000 3.046 4
Disney's Christopher Robin
(Disney)
$134,000 165 $812 +43.8% $99,005,000 4.027 14
Wildlife
(IFC Films)
$129,000 55 $2,340 +19.7% $420,000 3.266 3
The Happy Prince
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$90,283 277 $326 +12.5% $361,000 6.129 4
A Private War
(Aviron Pictures)
$72,000 4 $18,000 NEW $72,000 1.000 1
A Simple Favor
(Lionsgate)
$68,000 102 $667 -54.8% $53,364,000 3.333 8
The Sisters Brothers
(Annapurna Pictures)
$67,427 146 $462 -75.8% $3,006,000 3.965 7
Burning
(Well Go USA)
$57,550 6 $9,592 +120.2% $97,299 1.691 2
Border
(NEON)
$51,729 12 $4,311 -29.8% $160,000 2.178 2
Bodied
(NEON / YouTube)
$50,528 14 $3,609 NEW $50,528 1.000 1
The Wife
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$49,304 49 $1,006 -37.4% $7,701,000 6.862 12
What They Had
(Bleecker Street)
$37,520 37 $1,014 -38.0% $159,000 2.630 3
Viper Club
(Roadside)
$26,270 70 $375 +85.3% $44,585 1.697 1
Hell Fest
(Lionsgate / CBS Films)
$26,000 92 $283 -85.1% $11,100,000 2.163 6
Searching for Ingmar Bergman
(Oscilloscope)
$6,500 1 $6,500 NEW $6,500 1.000 1

Box office grosses can be reported to BoxOfficeReport via email at: daniel@boxofficereport.com







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