Box Office Report - Weekend Box Office Report: October 19 - October 21, 2018



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Weekend Box Office Report
October 19 - October 21, 2018




By Daniel Garris

Weekend Actuals Update:

With actuals now in, Universal's Halloween came in a bit under its weekend estimate with a first place debut of $76.222 million. That represents the second largest opening weekend ever for the month of October.

Warner’s A Star is Born came in slightly below its studio estimate with a second place take of $19.051 million, while Sony’s Venom nearly matched its weekend estimate with a third place gross of $18.044 million.

Other weekend actuals for the frame include: Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween ($9.721 million), First Man ($8.327 million), The Hate U Give ($7.602 million), Smallfoot ($6.577 million), Night School ($4.893 million), Bad Times at the El Royale ($3.420 million), The Old Man & the Gun ($2.134 million), The House with a Clock in Its Walls ($1.813 million), Free Solo ($1.022 million) and The Sisters Brothers ($757,975).

Weekend Estimates Update:

Universal and Blumhouse’s Halloween was off to an exceptional start this weekend with an estimated first place debut of $77.50 million. That represented the largest opening weekend ever for Blumhouse Productions (easily surpassing the $52.57 million start of 2011’s Paranormal Activity 3), the largest start ever for the weekend before Halloween weekend (a record that was also previously held by Paranormal Activity 3), the second largest October debut of all-time (behind only the recent $80.26 million start of Venom), the tenth largest opening ever for an R-rated film and the eleventh largest opening weekend ever for Universal. The opening weekend performance of Halloween was also an impressive 44.0 percent stronger than the recent $53.81 million launch of The Nun.

While Halloween wasn’t quite able to outpace Venom for the largest October debut of all-time, it should be noted that the production budget for Halloween was far less expensive than that of Venom (which was relatively modest in its own right for a comic book adaptation) and that Halloween didn’t have the added advantages of IMAX shows and a PG-13 rating. There is also an outside chance that Halloween could still surpass the opening weekend take of Venom; if Halloween can have a significantly stronger than expected Sunday hold.

The return of Jamie Lee Curtis to the Halloween franchise, strong critical reviews, strong marketing and trailers and opening over the pre-Halloween weekend frame all helped contribute to the opening weekend success of Halloween. In fact, without taking into account ticket price inflation, Halloween is already the highest grossing film of the Halloween franchise, as the film has surpassed the $58.27 million final domestic gross of the 2007 version of Halloween (which opened with $26.36 million over its first three days).

Halloween started out with $33.25 million on Friday (which included an estimated $7.70 million from Thursday night shows that began at 7PM), declined 18.0 percent on Saturday to take in $27.26 million and is estimated to decrease 37.7 percent on Sunday to gross $16.99 million. In addition to strong critical reviews, Halloween looks to be going over well with audiences, as the film received a B+ rating on CinemaScore, which is a very solid rating by horror film standards. Halloween is likely to hold up relatively well between now and the Halloween holiday.

Internationally, Halloween grossed an estimated $14.3 million this weekend from 23 markets. That places the film’s global launch at $91.8 million. International debuts for Halloween included $5.0 million in Mexico, $3.6 million in the United Kingdom, $1.8 million in Russia and $1.1 million in Indonesia. Halloween will open in a number of additional international markets over the next week, including France on Wednesday (October 24), Australia, Brazil, Italy and Germany on Thursday (October 25) and in Spain on Friday (October 26).

Warner’s A Star is Born took in an estimated $19.30 million this weekend to claim second place for a third consecutive frame. A Star is Born continued to display terrific holding power, as the film was down just 32.2 percent from last weekend. In addition to continuing to benefit from strong word of mouth, strong critical reviews, awards season buzz and repeat business, A Star is Born received an additional boost this weekend from expanding to an additional 176 locations. A Star is Born has grossed $126.38 million after 17 days of wide release. This weekend A Star is Born surpassed the $120.63 million final domestic gross of this year’s Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again and before long A Star is Born will zoom past the $144.130 million final domestic gross of 2008’s Mamma Mia and the $151.10 million final domestic gross of 2016’s La La Land.

This weekend also saw A Star is Born pass the $200 million global mark. The film grossed an estimated $22.8 million internationally this weekend, including a $4.7 million debut in Australia (including previews). To date, A Star is Born has grossed $74.7 million internationally and $201.1 million globally. Current international totals for A Star is Born by market include $19.5 million in the United Kingdom, $6.6 million in France, $5.4 million in Germany, $4.7 million in Australia, $4.3 million in Italy, $3.1 million in Brazil, $3.0 million in Spain, $2.6 million in Mexico, $2.5 million in Taiwan, $2.1 million in South Korea, $2.0 million in Russia and $1.95 million in the Netherlands.

Sony’s Venom followed closely behind in third with an estimated $18.11 million. Venom declined 48.3 percent this weekend, which represented a respectable hold, especially given the new competition the film faced from Halloween. Venom has grossed a stronger than expected $171.13 million through 17 days and is now essentially a lock to surpass the $200 million domestic mark before the end of its run. The film is running 3.7 percent ahead of the $165.01 million 17-day haul of Ant-Man and the Wasp earlier this year. With the debut of Halloween now behind it and the potential for a bit of a Halloween weekend boost; Venom could stabilize significantly next weekend.

Internationally, Venom continued to impress with an estimated $32.3 million this weekend. That brings the film’s international total to $290.7 million and current global haul to $461.2 million. Current international totals for Venom by market include $28.4 million in South Korea, $28.1 million in Russia, $21.8 million in the United Kingdom, $21.3 million in Mexico, $15.3 million in Brazil, $13.3 million in Australia, $1.24 million in Germany, $10.8 million in France, $8.9 million in Spain and $8.8 million in Italy.

Fellow Sony release Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween claimed fourth place with an estimated $9.72 million. Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween experienced a very solid second weekend hold, as the film declined 38.5 percent from last weekend. The ten-day total for Goosebumps 2 stands at $28.80 million. Goosebumps 2 is running 34.2 percent behind the $43.74 million ten-day take of 2015’s Goosebumps, though it should be noted that Goosebumps 2 wasn’t expected to perform as well as its predecessor and also carried a significantly smaller price-tag. Internationally, Goosebumps 2 grossed an estimated $6.2 million this weekend from 24 markets, including a $3.1 million debut in the United Kingdom (including previews). Current respective international and global totals for Goosebumps 2 stand at $11.1 million internationally and $39.9 million globally. This week Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween will open in France on Wednesday (October 24), in Australia and Germany on Thursday (October 25) and in Spain on Friday (October 26).

Universal and DreamWorks’ First Man rounded out the weekend’s top five with an estimated $8.57 million. That represented a 46.5 percent decline, which isn’t the greatest second weekend hold for an awards season hopeful and is further evidence of the film not playing as well with audiences as it has with critics. The ten-day take for First Man stands at a modest $30.00 million. That places the film 7.9 percent behind the $32.59 million ten-day gross of 2015’s Bridge of Spies (which declined just 26.0 percent in its second weekend to gross $11.37 million). Internationally, First Man grossed an estimated $13.4 million this weekend, including debuts of $3.5 million in South Korea and $1.8 million in France. To date, First Man has grossed $25.5 million internationally and $55.5 million globally. Additional current totals for First Man by market include $6.7 million in the United Kingdom, $3.0 million in Australia and $1.8 million in Spain.

Upon expanding into wide release this weekend, Fox’s The Hate U Give placed in sixth with an estimated $7.50 million. The critically acclaimed George Tillman Jr. directed film averaged a respectable $3,257 from 2,303 locations this weekend. The Hate U Give was up 331.8 percent over last weekend, when the film was playing in just 248 locations. With the addition of its two-week platform run, the 17-day total for The Hate U Give stands at a promising $10.64 million. The Hate U Give will look to hold up well going forward, especially given the film’s perfect A+ rating on CinemaScore.

Warner’s Smallfoot and Universal’s Night School claimed seventh and eighth place with respective estimated grosses of $6.62 million and $5.00 million. Smallfoot was down only 27.0 percent this weekend, while Night School also held up nicely by declining 35.5 percent. Through 24 days of release, current total grosses for Smallfoot and Night School are nearly identical, as Smallfoot has grossed $66.37 million and Night School has grossed $66.91 million. Internationally, Smallfoot grossed an estimated $14.0 million this weekend (including debuts of $3.9 million in China and $1.9 million in France), to bring its international total to $70.8 million and global total to $137.2 million. Meanwhile, Night School grossed an estimated $1.5 million internationally this weekend, which brings the film’s international total to $17.5 million and global total to $84.4 million.










Weekend Studio Estimates for October 19 - October 21, 2018.

Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Theatre
Count
Per-Thea.
Average
%Change
Total
Gross
TG to OW
Ratio
Week
1 Halloween
(Universal)
$77,500,000 3,928 $19,730 NEW $77,500,000 1.000 1
2 A Star is Born
(Warner Bros.)
$19,300,000 3,884 $4,969 -32.2% $126,376,000 2.945 3
3 Venom
(Sony / Columbia)
$18,105,000 3,887 $4,658 -48.3% $171,125,000 2.132 3
4 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween
(Sony / Columbia)
$9,715,000 3,521 $2,759 -38.5% $28,805,000 1.823 2
5 First Man
(Universal / DreamWorks)
$8,565,000 3,640 $2,353 -46.5% $30,000,000 1.874 2
6 The Hate U Give
(Fox)
$7,500,000 2,303 $3,257 +331.8% $10,642,000 1.419 3
7 Smallfoot
(Warner Bros.)
$6,615,000 3,032 $2,182 -27.0% $66,366,000 2.880 4
8 Night School
(Universal)
$5,000,000 2,296 $2,178 -35.5% $66,907,000 2.455 4
9 Bad Times at the El Royale
(Fox)
$3,300,000 2,808 $1,175 -53.7% $13,342,000 1.871 2
10 The Old Man & the Gun
(Fox Searchlight)
$2,050,000 802 $2,556 +123.4% $4,201,000 2.049 4
11 The House with a Clock in Its Walls
(Universal / Amblin)
$1,740,000 1,588 $1,096 -54.7% $64,928,000 2.440 5
12 Free Solo
(National Geographic / Greenwich)
$1,009,000 251 $4,021 +13.3% $3,593,000 3.560 4
13 The Sisters Brothers
(Annapurna Pictures)
$742,000 1,141 $650 +181.3% $1,971,000 2.656 5

Colette
(Bleecker Street)
$585,000 520 $1,125 -41.5% $3,693,000 3.694 5
Beautiful Boy
(Amazon Studios)
$439,000 48 $9,147 +100.6% $722,000 1.644 2
The Nun
(Warner / New Line)
$415,000 623 $666 -69.2% $116,746,000 2.170 7
A Simple Favor
(Lionsgate)
$360,000 492 $732 -72.9% $52,902,000 3.304 6
Mid90s
(A24)
$250,000 4 $62,375 NEW $250,000 1.000 1
The Oath
(Roadside)
$224,000 300 $745 +668.7% $261,000 1.170 2
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
(Fox Searchlight)
$150,000 5 $30,000 NEW $150,000 1.000 1
The Wife
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$138,000 130 $1,065 -33.0% $7,482,000 6.668 10
Wildlife
(IFC Films)
$106,000 4 $26,404 NEW $106,000 1.000 1
Hell Fest
(Lionsgate / CBS Films)
$71,000 263 $270 -88.9% $10,752,000 2.095 4
Peppermint
(STXfilms)
$70,000 152 $461 -62.6% $35,314,000 2.631 7
The Happy Prince
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$58,862 25 $2,354 +51.4% $117,000 1.994 2
What They Had
(Bleecker Street)
$18,845 4 $4,711 NEW $18,845 1.000 1
The Price of Everything
(HBO Documentary Films)
$17,280 1 $17,280 NEW $17,280 1.000 1
Monsters and Men
(NEON)
$13,433 25 $537 -56.6% $481,000 3.295 4
Wings of Desire (2018 re-issue)
(Janus Films)
$11,635 1 $11,635 NEW $11,635 1.000 1
Matangi/Maya/M.I.A.
(Abramorama)
$9,763 6 $1,627 -52.0% $170,000 3.902 4
On Her Shoulders
(Oscilloscope)
$4,500 1 $4,500 NEW $4,500 1.000 1
Horn From the Heart
(Abramorama)
$2,357 1 $2,357 NEW $4,166 1.768 1
Assassination Nation
(NEON)
$2,241 5 $448 -38.5% $2,004,000 1.908 5
God Bless the Broken Road
(Freestyle)
$2,039 6 $340 -63.9% $2,838,000 2.047 7
Liyana
(Abramorama)
$1,307 1 $1,307 -39.5% $7,977 3.693 2
Bigger
(Freestyle)
$516 5 $103 -98.4% $45,559 1.447 2

Box office grosses can be reported to BoxOfficeReport via email at: daniel@boxofficereport.com







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