Box Office Report - Weekend Box Office Report: October 5 - October 7, 2018



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Weekend Box Office Report
October 5 - October 7, 2018




By Daniel Garris

Weekend Actuals Update:

With actuals now in, Sony’s Venom finished just ahead of its weekend estimate with a first place debut of $80.256 million. That easily set a new opening weekend record for the month of October.

Thanks to a very strong daily hold on Sunday, Warner’s A Star is Born finished ahead of its studio estimate with a second place start of $42.908 million. With the addition of sneaks on Tuesday and Wednesday, A Star is Born has grossed $44.258 million to date.

Other weekend actuals for the frame include: Smallfoot ($14.403 million), Night School ($12.515 million), The House with a Clock in Its Walls ($7.333 million), A Simple Favor ($3.425 million), The Nun ($2.703 million), Crazy Rich Asians ($2.167 million), Hell Fest ($2.084 million), The Predator ($947,358), White Boy Rick ($603,341), Free Solo ($562,786 from 41 locations) and The Hate U Give ($512,035 from 36 locations).

Weekend Estimates Update:

Sony’s Venom was off to a record-breaking start this weekend with an estimated first place debut of $80.03 million. That represented the largest opening weekend ever for the month of October, as the film easily surpassed the $55.79 million debut of previous record-holder Gravity back in 2013. Venom also set a new opening weekend record for Columbus Day weekend (which was previously held by 2012’s Taken 2 with a $49.51 million launch) and registered the seventh largest opening weekend performance ever for Sony. Venom surged past pre-release expectations, which had tended to range anywhere from $55 million to $70 million heading into the weekend. While anticipation was high for the film, consensus expectations for Venom where held in check a bit by the film’s poor critical reviews. But ultimately, Venom proved to be critic-proof in a very big way this weekend. This weekend’s start for Venom was made even more impressive when taking into account that the film’s $100 million production budget is significantly smaller than that of most high-profile comic book adaptations.

Venom started out with $32.75 million on Friday (which included an estimated $10.00 million from Thursday night shows that began at 5PM), decreased a reasonable 18.7 percent on Saturday to take in $26.62 million and is estimated to decline 22.4 percent on Sunday to register $20.67 million. As mentioned, critical reviews for Venom have been poor, but the film looks to be going over far better with audiences as Venom received a solid B+ rating on CinemaScore and currently boasts a strong 89 percent Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes. While Venom is likely to still be front-loaded going forward, the film could hold up better than expected thanks to its reception with initial audiences.

Venom was also off to a very impressive international start with an estimated $125.2 million. That places the film’s global launch at $205.2 million. International debuts for Venom by market included $16.4 million in South Korea, $13.6 million in Russia, $10.5 million in the United Kingdom, $10.2 million in Mexico, $6.8 million in Australia, $5.7 million in Germany, $5.1 million in Brazil, $4.4 million in Italy, $4.2 million in Taiwan, $3.7 million in Spain and $3.3 million in Malaysia. Venom will open in France on Wednesday.

Warner’s A Star is Born was also off to a terrific start this weekend with an estimated second place take of $41.25 million. When including sneak preview grosses of $1.35 million from Tuesday and Wednesday, the film’s current total stands at $42.60 million. Expectations for A Star is Born surged as the Bradley Cooper directed film approached its release, thanks in part to strong critical reviews, awards season buzz and very strong online pre-sales. In hindsight, it does appear that the film’s pre-sales were inflated somewhat by Lady Gaga’s sizable and dedicated fan-base. A Star is Born registered the third largest Columbus Day weekend start ever and the tenth largest opening weekend ever for the month of October. The current $42.60 million total for A Star is Born is 21.9 percent ahead of the $34.95 million debut of Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again back in July. It should also be noted that with a modest production budget of $36 million, A Star is Born was far less expensive than Venom and preformed especially well with its cost in mind.

A Star is Born took in $15.80 million on Friday (which included an estimated $3.20 million from Thursday shows that began at 7PM), declined just 5.3 percent on Saturday to gross $14.97 million and is estimated to decrease 30.0 percent on Sunday to register $10.48 million. In addition to going over extremely well with critics, A Star is Born also looks to be going over extremely well with audiences, as the film received a strong A rating on CinemaScore and has a current Audience Score of 86 percent on Rotten Tomatoes. Given the film’s strong critical reviews, strong initial audience reception, ongoing awards season buzz and potential for repeat business (especially from Lady Gaga’s fans), A Star is Born is highly likely to hold up very well going forward.

Internationally, A Star is Born wasn’t as impressive with an estimated launch of $14.0 million from 31 markets. That places the current global total for A Star is Born at $56.6 million. A Star is Born was strong in the United Kingdom, where the film debuted with $5.3 million. Additional international starts for the film by market included $2.1 million in France, $1.9 million in Germany, $760,000 in Spain and $693,000 in Russia. Throughout the next week A Star is Born will open in South Korea (October 9), Italy (October 11), Brazil (October 11) and Mexico (October 12).

Fellow Warner Bros. release Smallfoot was down one spot from last weekend to land in third with an estimated $14.90 million. Smallfoot declined just 35.3 percent from last weekend, which represented a strong second weekend hold, especially given the combined debuts of Venom and A Star is Born this weekend. In comparison, 2016’s Storks fell a similar 36.8 percent in its second weekend to gross $13.48 million. Smallfoot has grossed a solid $42.76 million in ten days. That is in line with expectations and places the film 11.1 percent ahead of the $38.49 million ten-day take of Storks.

Smallfoot took in an estimated $11.7 million internationally this weekend. That brings the film’s international total to $32.5 million and global take to $75.3 million. International totals to date for Smallfoot by market include $6.8 million in Australia, $5.9 million in Mexico and $2.6 million in Brazil. In the coming week, Smallfoot will open in Spain (October 11), Germany (October 11), the United Kingdom (October 12) and Japan (October 12).

After a healthy first place debut last weekend, Universal’s Night School was down three spots and a sharp 55.0 percent this weekend to land in fourth place with an estimated $12.28 million. This weekend’s hold didn’t come as much of a surprise given the added presence of Venom and A Star is Born in the marketplace and that films starring Kevin Hart tend to experience sharp second weekend declines. In the bigger picture, Night School is still performing well with a ten-day gross of $46.75 million. That places the film 18.3 percent behind the $57.22 million ten-day total of 2015’s Get Hard (which declined 61.2 percent in its second weekend to gross $13.13 million). Internationally, Night School took in an estimated $3.4 million this weekend from 21 markets. To date, the film has grossed $12.0 million internationally and $58.7 million globally. The international performance of Night School has been largely driven so far by the film’s $4.2 million total in the United Kingdom and $2.9 million total in Australia.

Fellow Universal release The House with a Clock in Its Walls rounded out the weekend’s top five with an estimated $7.30 million. After experiencing a sharper than expected second weekend decline last weekend; The House with a Clock in Its Walls stabilized this weekend by falling a solid 42.1 percent. The House with a Clock in Its Walls passed the $50 million domestic mark this weekend and has grossed a stronger than expected $55.05 million in 17 days. The film is running a slim 3.0 percent behind the $56.76 million 17-day gross of 2015’s Goosebumps. Speaking of Goosebumps, beginning this coming weekend The House with a Clock in Its Walls will face new direct competition from Sony’s Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween. Current international and global totals for The House with a Clock in Its Walls stand at a respective $32.3 million internationally and $87.4 million globally.

On the platform front, in its second weekend National Geographic’s Free Solo took in an estimated $540,000 from 41 locations, while Fox’s The Hate U Give launched with an estimated $500,000 from 36 locations. Respective per-location averages for the frame were $13,889 for The Hate U Give and $13,171 for Free Solo. The ten-day total for Free Solo stands at a promising $953,911. Free Solo will receive another expansion next weekend and additional expansions throughout October, while The Hate U Give is scheduled to be playing in an estimated 200 locations next weekend and to expand into wide release the following weekend on October 19.










Weekend Studio Estimates for October 5 - October 7, 2018.

Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Theatre
Count
Per-Thea.
Average
%Change
Total
Gross
TG to OW
Ratio
Week
1 Venom
(Sony / Columbia)
$80,030,000 4,250 $18,831 NEW $80,030,000 1.000 1
2 A Star is Born
(Warner Bros.)
$41,250,000 3,686 $11,191 NEW $42,600,000 1.033 1
3 Smallfoot
(Warner Bros.)
$14,900,000 4,131 $3,607 -35.3% $42,761,000 1.855 2
4 Night School
(Universal)
$12,275,000 3,019 $4,066 -55.0% $46,751,000 1.715 2
5 The House with a Clock in Its Walls
(Universal / Amblin)
$7,295,000 3,463 $2,107 -42.1% $55,052,000 2.069 3
6 A Simple Favor
(Lionsgate)
$3,435,000 2,408 $1,426 -47.5% $49,014,000 3.061 4
7 The Nun
(Warner / New Line)
$2,610,000 2,264 $1,153 -51.9% $113,367,000 2.107 5
8 Hell Fest
(Lionsgate / CBS Films)
$2,075,000 2,297 $903 -59.6% $8,864,000 1.728 2
9 Crazy Rich Asians
(Warner Bros.)
$2,060,000 1,466 $1,405 -49.8% $169,135,000 6.380 8
10 The Predator
(Fox)
$900,000 1,643 $548 -76.7% $49,986,000 2.029 4
11 White Boy Rick
(Sony / Studio 8)
$575,000 880 $653 -76.1% $23,323,000 2.632 4
12 Free Solo
(National Geographic)
$540,000 41 $13,171 +83.5% $954,000 1.767 2
13 The Hate U Give
(Fox)
$500,000 36 $13,889 NEW $500,000 1.000 1
14 Colette
(Bleecker Street)
$459,000 107 $4,288 +18.7% $1,238,000 2.699 3
15 Disney's Christopher Robin
(Disney)
$455,000 1,638 $278 +33.6% $98,122,000 3.991 10

Peppermint
(STXfilms)
$450,000 813 $554 -74.5% $34,693,000 2.585 5
Searching
(Sony / Screen Gems)
$445,000 412 $1,080 -53.4% $25,652,000 4.228 7
The Wife
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$403,000 358 $1,126 -43.6% $6,810,000 6.068 8
The Old Man & the Gun
(Fox Searchlight)
$385,000 49 $7,857 +170.9% $575,000 1.495 2
Mission: Impossible - Fallout
(Paramount)
$300,000 361 $831 -52.0% $219,732,000 3.588 11
Incredibles 2
(Disney)
$293,000 244 $1,201 +7.7% $607,138,000 3.323 17
The Sisters Brothers
(Annapurna Pictures)
$207,000 54 $3,838 -11.2% $694,000 2.973 3
BlacKkKlansman
(Focus)
$160,000 158 $1,013 -64.2% $48,174,000 4.442 9
Little Women
(Pinnacle Peak)
$155,000 451 $344 -78.0% $1,154,000 1.636 2
Unbroken: Path to Redemption
(Pure Flix)
$150,000 335 $448 -69.2% $5,981,000 2.672 4
Monsters and Men
(NEON)
$146,000 143 $1,022 +23.1% $306,000 2.095 2
Ant-Man and The Wasp
(Disney)
$132,000 178 $742 -50.0% $216,369,000 2.854 14
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
(Universal)
$55,000 135 $407 -57.3% $120,582,000 3.450 12
Operation Finale
(MGM)
$40,786 111 $367 -67.6% $17,458,000 2.914 6
Matangi/Maya/M.I.A.
(Abramorama)
$31,955 7 $4,565 -26.7% $92,081 2.113 2
A-X-L
(Global Road)
$24,985 55 $454 -30.7% $6,491,000 2.320 7
Ya Veremos
(Lionsgate / Pantelion)
$22,500 37 $608 -56.8% $4,152,000 2.302 6
God Bless the Broken Road
(Freestyle)
$21,866 53 $413 -40.0% $2,823,000 1.807 5
Lizzie
(Roadside)
$16,625 25 $665 -81.0% $612,000 2.361 4
Juliet, Naked
(Roadside)
$16,530 31 $533 -74.2% $3,404,000 4.146 8
Loving Pablo
(OTL Releasing)
$15,000 15 $1,000 NEW $15,000 1.000 1
Three Identical Strangers
(NEON)
$11,322 15 $755 N/A $12,299,000 8.344 15
Assassination Nation
(NEON)
$7,752 15 $517 -96.2% $1,988,000 1.893 3
Beautifully Broken
(ArtAffects)
$3,238 4 $810 +4.4% $1,201,000 2.039 7

Box office grosses can be reported to BoxOfficeReport via email at: daniel@boxofficereport.com







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