Box Office Report - Weekend Box Office Report: March 16 - March 18, 2018



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Weekend Box Office Report
March 16 - March 18, 2018




By Daniel Garris

Weekend Estimates Update:

Disney’s Black Panther led the weekend box office for a fifth straight frame with an estimated $27.02 million this weekend. In doing so, Black Panther became the first film since 2009’s Avatar to lead the weekend box office for five consecutive weekends. This weekend also saw Black Panther pass the $600 million domestic mark, making it just the seventh film ever to reach the $600 million domestic milestone. Black Panther has grossed $605.40 million through 31 days of release. Before long, Black Panther will zoom past both last year’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi ($619.80 million) and 2012’s Marvel’s The Avengers ($623.36 million) on the all-time domestic list. Black Panther was down 33.8 percent this weekend. That represented a strong hold, especially given that the film lost its IMAX shows to Tomb Raider this weekend and that the St. Patrick’s Day holiday deflated Saturday’s grosses in general. Black Panther registered the fourth largest fifth weekend gross of all-time, behind only Avatar, 1997's Titanic and 2013's Frozen.

Internationally, Black Panther grossed an estimated $30.0 million this weekend. The film has grossed $577.1 million to date internationally and a massive $1.183 billion globally. Current international totals for Black Panther include $96.0 million in China, $59.5 million in the U.K., $42.7 million in South Korea, $32.7 million in Brazil, $28.1 million in Australia, $27.2 million in France, $26.0 million in Mexico, $19.2 million in Germany and $18.0 million in Russia.

Warner and MGM’s Tomb Raider debuted in second place with an estimated $23.53 million. Tomb Raider opened towards the lower end of expectations, which had ranged from the low twenties to the high twenties heading into the weekend. Compared to the previous Tomb Raider films, Tomb Raider started 50.7 percent below the $47.74 million debut of 2001’s Lara Croft: Tomb Raider and 8.0 percent ahead of the $21.78 million start of 2003’s Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life. In addition to the Tomb Raider property not being as popular as it once was, potential for Tomb Raider looks to have been limited somewhat by the film not really appealing to younger moviegoers (only 32 percent of the film’s audience was under the age of 25).

Tomb Raider took in $9.07 million on Friday (which included an estimated $2.10 million from Thursday night shows that began at 7 PM), declined a slim 3.4 percent on St. Patrick’s Day Saturday to gross $8.76 million and is estimated to decrease 34.9 percent on Sunday for $5.70 million. Critical reviews for Tomb Raider have been mixed, but the film looks to be going over better with audiences, as it received a respectable B rating on CinemaScore.

Tomb Raider was more impressive internationally this weekend with an estimated $84.5 million. International debuts for Tomb Raider this weekend included $41.1 million in China, $4.4 million in Russia, $4.2 million in the U.K., $3.2 million in France, $2.15 million in Germany, $2.15 million in Mexico, $2.1 million in Australia and $2.1 million in Brazil. Additional totals for Tomb Raider include $4.4 million in Indonesia, $4.0 million in Korea and $3.6 million in Taiwan. To date, Tomb Raider has grossed $102.5 million internationally and $126.0 million globally.

In other box office news, Roadside Attractions’ I Can Only Imagine was off to an exceptional third place start with an estimated $17.06 million. The faith-based drama from the Erwin Brothers essentially doubled high-end expectations for the film heading into the weekend (which had been driven upwards by the film’s strong online presales). I Can Only Imagine easily set a new opening weekend record for distributor Roadside; a mark which had just recently been set by Forever My Girl back in January with $4.25 million. Making this weekend’s performance even more impressive for I Can Only Imagine was that the film was playing in a relatively modest 1,629 locations, for a strong per-location average of $10,476 for the frame. I Can Only Imagine outpaced the $16.17 million debut of last year’s The Shack by 5.5 percent and did so while debuting in 1,259 fewer locations.

I Can Only Imagine started with an estimated $6.23 million on Friday (which included an estimated $1.30 million from Thursday night shows that began at 7 PM), declined 4.0 percent on Saturday to take in $5.98 million and is estimated to decrease just 19.0 percent on Sunday to gross $4.85 million. I Can Only Imagine looks to be going over extremely well with audiences, as the film received a perfect A+ rating on CinemaScore. Given the film’s strong early word of mouth and the approaching Easter holiday, I Can Only Imagine is highly likely to hold up well in the weeks ahead.

Disney’s A Wrinkle in Time claimed fourth with an estimated $16.57 million. A Wrinkle in Time was down a sizable 50.0 percent from last weekend, but that also represented a fairly typical second weekend decline for a high-profile live-action film from Walt Disney Pictures. The ten-day total for A Wrinkle in Time stands at $61.06 million, which is towards the lower end of expectations. A Wrinkle in Time is running 18.8 percent ahead of the $51.40 million ten-day haul of 2016’s Alice Through the Looking Glass and just 4.1 percent behind the $63.69 million ten-day launch of 2015’s Tomorrowland. A Wrinkle in Time has surpassed the $52.08 million final gross of director Ava DuVernay’s Selma (in 2014/2015); to become DuVernay’s highest grossing film.

Internationally, A Wrinkle in Time took in an estimated $3.2 million this weekend from just 11 markets. The film has grossed $10.6 million to date internationally and $71.7 million globally. International totals for A Wrinkle in Time include $5.2 million in Russia, $1.8 million in Spain and $1.0 million in France. The film will expand into other international markets throughout the next few weeks.

Fox’s Love, Simon rounded out the weekend’s top five with an estimated $11.50 million. That was right in line with expectations, which had tended to range from $10 million to $14 million, and represented a solid start given the film’s modest production budget. Love, Simon opened essentially on par with the $11.73 million start of last year’s Everything, Everything (which also starred Nick Robinson).

Love, Simon registered $4.61 million on Friday (which included an estimated $850,000 from Thursday night shows that began at 7 PM), decreased 9.5 percent on Saturday to take in $4.17 million and is estimated to decline 34.8 percent on Sunday to gross $2.72 million. Love, Simon has gone over very well with critics and looks to be going over very well with audiences as well, as like I Can Only Imagine, Love, Simon also received a perfect A+ rating on CinemaScore. Given its critical reviews and early audience reaction, odds are good that Love, Simon will hold up well going forward.

Sony reached a pair of domestic milestones this weekend, as Peter Rabbit surpassed the $100 million domestic mark and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle surpassed the $400 million domestic mark. This weekend Peter Rabbit took seventh place with an estimated $5.20 million, while Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle finished in twelfth with an estimated $1.65 million. Respective total grosses stand at $400.27 million for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle in 89 days and at $102.44 million for Peter Rabbit in 38 days.










Weekend Studio Estimates for March 16 - March 18, 2018.

Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Theatre
Count
Per-Thea.
Average
%Change
Total
Gross
TG to OW
Ratio
Week
1 Black Panther
(Disney)
$27,024,000 3,834 $7,049 -33.8% $605,401,000 2.997 5
2 Tomb Raider
(Warner / MGM)
$23,525,000 3,854 $6,104 NEW $23,525,000 1.000 1
3 I Can Only Imagine
(Roadside)
$17,065,000 1,629 $10,476 NEW $17,065,000 1.000 1
4 A Wrinkle in Time
(Disney)
$16,565,000 3,980 $4,162 -50.0% $61,060,000 1.843 2
5 Love, Simon
(Fox)
$11,500,000 2,402 $4,788 NEW $11,500,000 1.000 1
6 Game Night
(Warner / New Line)
$5,570,000 2,686 $2,074 -29.2% $54,174,000 3.186 4
7 Peter Rabbit
(Sony / Columbia)
$5,200,000 2,725 $1,908 -23.3% $102,440,000 4.096 6
8 The Strangers: Prey at Night
(Aviron Pictures)
$4,810,000 2,464 $1,952 -53.8% $18,612,000 1.789 2
9 Red Sparrow
(Fox)
$4,450,000 2,583 $1,723 -47.7% $39,584,000 2.349 3
10 Death Wish
(MGM)
$3,368,000 2,676 $1,259 -48.8% $29,950,000 2.302 3
11 Annihilation
(Paramount)
$1,700,000 1,087 $1,564 -48.5% $29,595,000 2.673 4
12 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
(Sony / Columbia)
$1,650,000 1,556 $1,060 -39.8% $400,274,000 11.067 13
13 7 Days in Entebbe
(Focus)
$1,630,000 838 $1,945 NEW $1,630,000 1.000 1
14 The Greatest Showman
(Fox)
$1,175,000 737 $1,594 -38.6% $169,745,000 19.276 13
15 The Hurricane Heist
(Entertainment Studios
Motion Pictures)
$1,031,000 2,283 $452 -65.9% $5,367,000 1.775 2

The Shape of Water
(Fox Searchlight)
$800,000 758 $1,055 -65.9% $62,689,000 20.893 16
Gringo
(STXfilms / Amazon)
$630,000 2,314 $272 -76.9% $4,496,000 1.652 2
Fifty Shades Freed
(Universal)
$615,000 873 $704 -55.0% $99,631,000 2.584 6
The Death of Stalin
(IFC Films)
$581,000 32 $18,143 +214.2% $844,000 1.454 2
Thoroughbreds
(Focus)
$470,000 564 $833 -61.6% $2,276,000 1.859 2
Three Billboards Outside
Ebbing, Missouri
(Fox Searchlight)
$265,000 282 $940 -61.9% $53,889,000 12.239 19
A Fantastic Woman
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$204,000 190 $1,072 -25.0% $1,496,000 5.506 7
Coco
(Disney)
$196,000 177 $1,107 -24.3% $209,182,000 4.118 17
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
(Disney)
$179,000 211 $848 -32.6% $619,796,000 2.817 14
The Leisure Seeker
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$149,000 49 $3,041 +31.1% $327,000 2.194 2
The Post
(Fox / DreamWorks)
$130,000 159 $818 -60.4% $81,424,000 4.205 13
Call Me By Your Name
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$128,000 118 $1,087 -56.3% $17,743,000 12.340 17
I, Tonya
(NEON / 30West)
$110,000 160 $690 -58.0% $29,744,000 8.845 15
Darkest Hour
(Focus)
$105,000 133 $789 -60.5% $56,311,000 14.469 17
Phantom Thread
(Focus)
$95,000 92 $1,033 -59.7% $20,907,000 6.440 12
Wonder
(Lionsgate)
$78,000 96 $813 +42.2% $132,407,000 4.806 18
Lady Bird
(A24)
$73,800 88 $839 -57.5% $48,851,000 12.040 20
Early Man
(Lionsgate)
$70,000 144 $486 -33.4% $8,170,000 2.561 5
The Party
(Roadside)
$63,040 80 $788 -37.1% $601,000 4.712 5
Flower
(The Orchard)
$57,851 3 $19,284 NEW $57,851 1.000 1
Foxtrot
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$52,650 12 $4,388 +92.0% $176,000 3.339 3
Winchester
(Lionsgate / CBS Films)
$52,000 91 $571 -69.0% $24,989,000 2.685 7
Hostiles
(Entertainment Studios
Motion Pictures)
$52,000 102 $510 -15.6% $29,701,000 2.938 13
Loveless
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$47,730 43 $1,110 -11.0% $379,000 6.174 5
Samson
(Pure Flix)
$19,500 34 $574 -72.7% $4,675,000 2.405 5
Forever My Girl
(Roadside)
$17,975 37 $486 -52.9% $16,292,000 3.837 9
The Insult
(Cohen Media Group)
$17,668 12 $1,472 -10.7% $932,000 8.430 10
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$12,016 38 $316 -42.9% $841,000 7.260 12

Box office grosses can be reported to BoxOfficeReport via email at: daniel@boxofficereport.com







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