Box Office Report - Weekend Box Office Report: January 19 - January 21, 2018



Weekend Predictions

Weekend Report

Daily Report

International Report

YouTube Trailer Report

OW to YouTube Ratios

All-Time Domestic

Adjusted Domestic

All-Time Openings

Preview Grosses

Box Office Poll Archive

Wide Release Dates





Weekend Box Office Report
January 19 - January 21, 2018




By Daniel Garris

Weekend Actuals Update:

With actuals now in, Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle took first place with $19.505 M. With competition from the NFL Conference Championship Games on Sunday, weekend actuals were down a bit from studio estimates for most wide releases in general.

Warner’s 12 Strong was down from its studio estimate to debut in second place with $15.815 M, while STXfilms’ Den of Thieves came in close to its estimate and to 12 Strong to open in third with $15.206 M.

Other weekend actuals for the frame include: The Post ($11.717 M), The Greatest Showman ($10.645 M), Paddington 2 ($8.009 M), The Commuter ($6.604 M), Star Wars: The Last Jedi ($6.555 M), Insidious: The Last Key ($5.874 M), Forever My Girl ($4.245 M), Proud Mary ($3.569 M), Phantom Thread ($3.247 M) and Pitch Perfect 3 ($3.022 M).

Weekend Estimates Update:

Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle took in an estimated $20.04 M this weekend to lead the weekend box office for a third consecutive frame. In the process, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle passed the $300 M domestic mark this weekend. The 33-day total for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle stands at a significantly stronger than expected $316.985 M. That currently ranks Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle as the seventh highest grossing release of 2017 to date and gives the film an exceptional current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 8.76 to 1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle was down just 28.7 percent from last weekend’s three-day frame and registered the seventh largest fifth weekend performance of all-time.

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle continued to lead the international box office as well, with an estimated weekend take of $32.6 M. That brings the film’s international total to $450.8 M and global haul to a very impressive $767.8 M. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle has grossed $65.8 M to date in China after taking in an estimated $7.7 M in its second weekend.

It was a close race for second place this weekend, with Warner’s 12 Strong edging out STXfilms’ Den of Thieves. 12 Strong debuted with an estimated $16.50 M; placing it an estimated $1.18 M ahead of Den of Thieves for the weekend. The Chris Hemsworth led 12 Strong opened towards the higher end of expectations, which had tended to range from $12 M to $17 M heading into the weekend. 12 Strong opened just ahead of the $16.19 M three-day start of last year’s 13 Hours. While 12 Strong has received lukewarm reviews from critics, the film looks to be going over far better with early audiences as the film received an A rating on CinemaScore.

Den of Thieves claimed third place with an estimated $15.32 M. The Gerard Butler led film significantly exceeded its modest expectations, which had tended to range from just $6 M to $10.5 M. The opening weekend performance of Den of Thieves was 16.8 percent stronger than the $13.11 M three-day start of last year’s The Foreigner, which was also released by STXfilms. It should be noted that Den of Thieves earned the weekend’s highest per-location average ($6,299) among wide releases. Den of Thieves hasn’t going over well with critics, but like 12 Strong, also looks to be going over much better with audiences, as Den of Thieves received a solid B+ rating on CinemaScore.

Fox and DreamWorks’ The Post held up nicely this weekend with an estimated fourth place take of $12.15 M. The Post declined a very solid 37.2 percent from last weekend’s three-day launch into wide release. The Post has grossed $45.19 M through ten days of wide release and an additional three weeks of platform release. That is 38.7 percent stronger than the $32.59 M ten-day start of 2015’s Bridge of Spies (which didn’t have the added advantage of a platform start). Just how well The Post does at this Tuesday’s Academy Award nominations will play a major role in the film’s holding power going forward.

Fellow Fox release The Greatest Showman continued to hold up exceptionally well this weekend with an estimated fifth place take of $11.00 M. That represented a decline of only 11.8 percent from last weekend’s three-day take. The Greatest Showman has steadily turned into one of the bigger surprise hits of 2017 with a 33-day day haul of $113.48 M. The film’s total gross to opening weekend ratio currently stands at 12.89 to 1. Internationally, The Greatest Showman grossed an estimated $11.02 M this weekend, which brings the film’s international total to $118.0 M and global total to $231.5 M.

On the heels of last weekend’s softer than expected start, Warner’s Paddington 2 held up very well this weekend with an estimated sixth place gross of $8.24 M. Paddington 2 was down just 25.1 percent, as the film’s exceptional critical reviews and strong word of mouth appear to be having a clear effect on the film’s holding power. Paddington 2 has grossed $25.04 M in ten days, which places the film an underwhelming 37.3 percent behind the $39.94 M ten-day take of 2015’s Paddington.

This weekend saw Disney reach a pair of domestic milestones, as Star Wars: The Last Jedi passed the $600 M mark, while Coco passed the $200 M mark. For the frame, Star Wars: The Last Jedi placed in eighth with an estimated $6.57 M and Coco took 18th place with an estimated $1.91 M. Current respective total grosses stand at $604.28 M for Star Wars: The Last Jedi and at $200.73 M for Coco.

Internationally, Star Wars: The Last Jedi grossed an estimated $9.9 M this weekend, while Coco took in an estimated $18.3 M. To date, Star Wars: The Last Jedi has grossed $692.0 M internationally and a massive $1.296 B globally, while Coco has grossed a very impressive $455.2 M internationally and $655.9 M globally.

In other box office news, Roadside’s Forever My Girl debuted in tenth place with an estimated $4.70 M. That represented the largest opening weekend performance ever for Roadside. Prior to the debut of Forever My Girl, the $4.22 M grossed by 2016’s Manchester By the Sea in its first weekend of wide release (and fifth weekend overall) had represented the best ever wide release launch for Roadside. Forever My Girl claimed a solid per-location average of $4,218 from 1,115 locations this weekend. The film will hope to hold up well between now and the Valentine’s Day holiday.

The news wasn’t as bright for Focus’ Phantom Thread, which took in an estimated $3.37 M to place in twelfth. With a per-location average of $3,761 from 896 locations, the critically acclaimed Phantom Thread lost relative momentum upon expanding into semi-wide release. Compared to Paul Thomas Anderson’s most recent films, Phantom Thread performed 21.7 percent ahead of the $2.77 M grossed by Inherent Vice in its first weekend of semi-wide release back in 2015 and 23.3 percent behind the $4.39 M grossed by 2012’s The Master in its first weekend of semi-wide release. To date, Phantom Thread has grossed $6.18 M.

Also of note this weekend was GKIDS’ Mary and the Witch’s Flower, which debuted with an estimated $1.497 M. That not only represented the largest opening weekend gross ever for GKIDS, but it already makes Mary and the Witch’s Flower the highest grossing film ever for GKIDS (the distributor’s previous high-mark was the $1.003 M total gross of 2013’s From Up on Poppy Hill). Mary and the Witch’s Flower received a significant boost from grossing $1.167 M in Thursday night previews from 573 locations in association with Fathom Events. Throughout the rest of the weekend, Mary and the Witch’s Flower played in 161 locations.









Weekend Studio Estimates for January 19 - January 21, 2018.

Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Theatre
Count
Per-Thea.
Average
%Change
Total
Gross
TG to OW
Ratio
Week
1 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
(Sony / Columbia)
$20,040,000 3,704 $5,410 -28.7% $316,985,000 8.764 5
2 12 Strong
(Warner Bros.)
$16,500,000 3,002 $5,496 NEW $16,500,000 1.000 1
3 Den of Thieves
(STXfilms)
$15,320,000 2,432 $6,299 NEW $15,320,000 1.000 1
4 The Post
(Fox / DreamWorks)
$12,150,000 2,851 $4,262 -37.2% $45,191,000 2.334 5
5 The Greatest Showman
(Fox)
$11,000,000 2,823 $3,897 -11.8% $113,481,000 12.887 5
6 Paddington 2
(Warner Bros.)
$8,240,000 3,702 $2,226 -25.1% $25,041,000 2.276 2
7 The Commuter
(Lionsgate)
$6,685,000 2,892 $2,312 -51.2% $25,709,000 1.876 2
8 Star Wars: The Last Jedi
(Disney)
$6,566,000 2,456 $2,673 -44.6% $604,284,000 2.747 6
9 Insidious: The Last Key
(Universal)
$5,945,000 2,546 $2,335 -52.1% $58,729,000 1.985 3
10 Forever My Girl
(Roadside)
$4,703,000 1,115 $4,218 NEW $4,703,000 1.000 1
11 Proud Mary
(Sony / Screen Gems)
$3,650,000 2,125 $1,718 -63.3% $16,932,000 1.700 2
12 Phantom Thread
(Focus)
$3,370,000 896 $3,761 +193.6% $6,183,000 1.835 4
13 Pitch Perfect 3
(Universal)
$3,110,000 1,772 $1,755 -48.1% $100,623,000 5.049 5
14 Darkest Hour
(Focus)
$3,065,000 1,341 $2,286 -31.3% $41,128,000 10.568 9
15 I, Tonya
(NEON / 30West)
$3,023,000 799 $3,784 -10.1% $14,672,000 4.363 7

The Shape of Water
(Fox Searchlight)
$2,200,000 853 $2,579 -22.4% $30,209,000 10.068 8
Three Billboards Outside
Ebbing, Missouri
(Fox Searchlight)
$2,000,000 954 $2,096 -20.6% $32,077,000 7.285 11
Coco
(Disney)
$1,911,000 878 $2,177 -42.6% $200,727,000 3.951 9
Molly's Game
(STXfilms)
$1,710,000 1,091 $1,567 -55.8% $24,369,000 3.554 4
Ferdinand
(Fox)
$1,660,000 1,212 $1,370 -53.0% $79,146,000 5.906 6
Call Me By Your Name
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$1,506,000 815 $1,847 +111.8% $9,203,000 6.113 9
Mary and the Witch's Flower
(GKIDS)
$1,497,000 573 $2,613 NEW $1,497,000 1.000 1
Lady Bird
(A24)
$1,321,000 675 $1,958 -25.3% $39,181,000 9.656 12
Wonder
(Lionsgate)
$570,000 496 $1,149 -52.9% $129,925,000 4.716 10
Hostiles
(Entertainment Studios
Motion Pictures)
$392,000 49 $8,000 +43.5% $1,372,000 4.972 5
All the Money in the World
(Sony / TriStar)
$385,000 374 $1,029 -68.5% $24,114,000 4.318 4
Thor: Ragnarok
(Disney)
$249,000 184 $1,353 -32.9% $313,448,000 2.554 12
Daddy's Home 2
(Paramount)
$215,000 183 $1,175 +7.9% $103,548,000 3.492 11
The Disaster Artist
(A24 / New Line)
$199,000 147 $1,351 -57.0% $20,750,000 3.259 8
Condorito: La Pelicula
(Lionsgate / Pantelion)
$70,000 134 $522 -71.8% $394,000 1.671 2
Downsizing
(Paramount)
$70,000 134 $522 -76.8% $24,314,000 4.908 5
The Florida Project
(A24)
$43,808 37 $1,184 -17.8% $5,577,000 8.800 16
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$37,658 16 $2,354 +14.4% $193,000 5.131 4
Happy End
(Sony Pictures Classics)
$30,535 18 $1,696 +33.7% $162,000 5.303 5
The Road Movie
(Oscilloscope)
$21,000 19 $1,105 NEW $21,000 1.000 1
Jane
(National Geographic / Abramorama)
$13,101 12 $1,092 -31.0% $1,627,000 7.109 14
My Friend Dahmer
(FilmRise)
$5,500 2 $2,750 -43.0% $1,328,000 7.062 12
Kangaroo
(Abramorama)
$2,562 2 $1,281 NEW $2,562 1.000 1
Vazante
(Music Box Films)
$708 1 $708 -79.7% $6,242 1.789 2

Box office grosses can be reported to BoxOfficeReport via email at: daniel@boxofficereport.com







Follow BoxOfficeReport on Twitter


Find BoxOfficeReport on Facebook